All Articles
Prediction markets, AI, building companies, and what faith looks like in practice. No fluff.
Why Prediction Markets Matter More Than Polls
Polls are broken. Pundits are incentivized to be wrong. Prediction markets put real money on the line — and that changes everything.
How to Trade on Polymarket: Complete Beginner's Guide
Step-by-step guide to getting started on Polymarket — wallets, funding, finding good markets, and not blowing up your account on your first trade.
Smart Money Tracking: How to Follow the Whales
The best edge on Polymarket isn't analysis — it's knowing which wallets consistently call things right and following them before the crowd does.
Copy Trading Strategy: Let the Best Traders Work for You
Copy trading isn't lazy — it's leverage. Here's how to do it systematically instead of just blindly following whoever had a good week.
AI Trading Bots: The Future of Prediction Markets
We ran 236 AI bots against each other in real time on Polymarket. Here's what we learned about where AI actually has edge and where it doesn't.
Building in Public: Why I Share Everything
Building in public isn't a marketing strategy. It's a forcing function for doing the work and a filter for finding your real audience.
The PolyFire Story: From Idea to Product
How PolyFire went from a frustration I had trading Polymarket to a product people actually use every day.
Contrarian Investing: Why I Bet Against the Crowd
The crowd is usually wrong at the extremes. Here's the framework for finding those moments and having the conviction to act.
Faith and Markets: Why I Trade with Conviction
Christianity shaped my approach to risk, uncertainty, and conviction long before I ever traded prediction markets. Here's how.
Dragons Are Real: What I Mean and Why It Matters
People think it's just a slogan. It's actually a complete worldview about probability, belief, and what happens when you take seriously the things everyone else dismisses.
5 Prediction Market Strategies That Actually Work
Not theory. Strategies I've personally traded and watched smart money use on Polymarket. Including what to avoid.
AI Agents: The Next Frontier of Autonomous Trading
AI agents that can research, reason, and execute trades autonomously are here. Here's what changes and what the implications are for prediction markets specifically.
10 Lessons from 15 Years of Entrepreneurship
Not the polished version you'd put in a pitch deck. The actual lessons — including the ones that cost me the most money to learn.
Signal Arena: 236 AI Bots Competing in Real-Time
We built a live competition between 236 AI trading bots on real Polymarket markets. Here's the architecture, the results, and what we learned.
Polymarket vs Polls: Why Markets Beat Experts
The 2024 election was the definitive test case. Markets called it. Polls fumbled it. Here's the autopsy.
How I'm Building Passive Income with AI
The honest version: what's actually working, what's vaporware, and what the realistic timeline looks like.
Crypto + Prediction Markets: The Perfect Storm
Why blockchain was always the right infrastructure for prediction markets, and why the combination creates something genuinely new.
How I Use AI Every Single Day
Concrete, specific, current. Not a think piece. What I actually open and what I actually do with it.
The Case for Polymarket: Better Than Vegas
Sports betting is a $100B industry built on house edges that guarantee you lose over time. Polymarket inverts the model. Here's why.
Web3 and Faith: Technology Serving Truth
I'm a Christian who builds blockchain products. Here's how I think about whether the technology I'm building aligns with what I actually believe.
The MCP Agent Revolution: Why It Changes Everything
Model Context Protocol is the interface layer that makes AI agents actually useful. Here's why it matters and where it's going.
Market Making Simplified: Understanding Liquidity
Most traders think about taking positions. The best traders understand who's on the other side. Here's how liquidity actually works on prediction markets.
Why I Left Corporate America (And Never Looked Back)
The real story. Not the inspirational LinkedIn version.
Election Markets Guide: How to Trade Political Events
Elections are the highest-liquidity, highest-profile events on prediction markets. They're also where retail traders make the most predictable mistakes.
The Future of Trading: AI, Agents, and Prediction Markets
Where the convergence of AI capability, prediction market infrastructure, and agent protocols leads. My honest projection.