Public predictions • Tracked • Accountable
MY PREDICTIONS
Concrete predictions with confidence levels and resolution dates. Bookmark this page. Come back. Hold me accountable.
20
Active Predictions
63%
Avg Confidence
0
Resolved
AI & Technologyactive
The AI Industry Will Be Worth $2 Trillion by End of 2027
75%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
Polymarket Will Hit $1B Monthly Volume by Mid-2027
70%
Resolves: Jun 2027
Details →AI & Technologyactive
A Top-5 AI Startup Will Be Acquired for $50B+ in 2026-2027
60%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
The US Will Pass Federal Prediction Market Legislation by 2028
55%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →AI & Technologyactive
GPT-5 Will Score Above 90% on the Bar Exam
80%
Resolves: Jun 2027
Details →AI & Technologyactive
X (Twitter) Will IPO or Be Sold by End of 2027
45%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →AI & Technologyactive
AI Agents Will Be Used by 30% of Fortune 500 by End of 2027
72%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →AI & Technologyactive
Open Source AI Will Match GPT-4 Level by Mid-2027
85%
Resolves: Jun 2027
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
Major News Networks Will Display Prediction Market Odds During Elections
65%
Resolves: Nov 2026
Details →AI & Technologyactive
More Than 50% of Online Content Will Be AI-Generated by 2028
70%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →AI & Technologyactive
At Least 3 AI Unicorns Will Shut Down or Be Acqui-Hired Below Last Round by 2028
75%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
Democrats Will Gain 1-3 Senate Seats in 2026 Midterms
58%
Resolves: Nov 2026
Details →Tradingactive
The US Will Pass Comprehensive Crypto Regulation by End of 2027
50%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →AI & Technologyactive
AI Will Handle 80% of Customer Support Interactions by 2028
78%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
Prediction Markets Will Be a $100B Annual Volume Category by 2028
60%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →AI & Technologyactive
AI Will Write More Than 50% of Production Code by 2028
65%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →AI & Technologyactive
Apple Will Release Sub-$1000 AR Glasses by End of 2028
50%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
A Major Social Media Influencer Will Launch a Prediction Market Product by 2027
55%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →AI & Technologyactive
AI Personal Assistants Will Manage Calendars and Email for 20% of Knowledge Workers by 2028
55%
Resolves: Dec 2028
Details →Prediction Marketsactive
A Prediction Market ETF or Index Fund Will Launch by 2027
45%
Resolves: Dec 2027
Details →