AI & Technologyactive
AI Will Write More Than 50% of Production Code by 2028
MS
Mike Smith
ConfidenceHigh
65%
0%50%100%
The Prediction
By end of 2028, more than 50% of new production code at tech companies will be primarily AI-generated (with human review), up from an estimated 20-30% today.
Made
Feb 26, 2026
Resolves
Dec 30, 2028
1023 days until resolution
Supporting Evidence
1
GitHub Copilot acceptance rates are trending upward
2
Claude Code and Cursor adoption is accelerating
3
Developer productivity gains incentivize AI-first coding workflows
4
New developers are learning AI-augmented coding as the default
Think I'm wrong? Let me know.
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