Prediction Marketsactive
Prediction Markets Will Be a $100B Annual Volume Category by 2028
MS
Mike Smith
ConfidenceModerate
60%
0%50%100%
The Prediction
Total annual trading volume across all prediction market platforms globally will exceed $100 billion by the end of 2028.
Made
Feb 27, 2026
Resolves
Dec 30, 2028
1023 days until resolution
Supporting Evidence
1
Polymarket alone is approaching $1B monthly
2
Kalshi and Robinhood are expanding prediction market access
3
International platforms are growing rapidly
4
Each election cycle brings a step-change in volume
Think I'm wrong? Let me know.
@MikeSmithShow on X. I track my predictions publicly.
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